UFC 257 – McGregor vs Poirier Betting Tips, Picks and Predictions January 12, 2021 2:50 am January 23, 2021 Our reviews are written by real people, just like you. UFC Predictions & UFC Picks (All MMA Picks) Updated UFC Picks and Predictions for Betting all MMA events. Brad Tavares vs Antonio Carlos Junior Pick, 1/23/2021 Predictions UFC 257 Odds by Tony Sink.
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The MMABETMACHINE has TWO recommended plays for Premium Members at UFC257. Still want some Free action? Here are some unofficial prop plays and advice that might be worth a small bet:
McGregor wins by TKO/KO @ 1.60 (-167): It’s hard to imagine McGregor not having a significant edge on the feet and if he is landing enough to win rounds the Poirier is likely getting knocked out. Take the TKO/KO line and look to live bet Poirier in the +500 odds range if he survives some early abuse.
Hooker wins inside distance @ 2.80 (+180): Chandler has had durability issues and Hooker will definitely land while this is standing. Furthermore his neck attacks during scrambles could prove a sneaky path to victory.
Julianna Pena Submission & Round 3 @ 23.0 (+2200): If your looking for a longshot this one has a small chance to hit. McMann will likely dominate the grappling but has a tendency to make mistakes when low on energy. Pena pulling off a late submission for a comeback win pays well.
| Bet | vs | Units Risked | Odds | BETMACHINE predicted win % | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Hooker | Michael Chandler | 3 | 1.75 (-133) | 70% | KO | -3u |
| Sara McMann | Julianna Pena | 3 | 1.84 (-119) | 68% | SUB | -3u |
Dan Hooker Bet & Breakdown
Chandler is making his first UFC appearance against a tricky stylistic opponent. Hooker will bring a substantial range advantage and his effective jab and accurate counter strikes should give Chandler problems. The former Bellator champ is explosive on the feet with a basic but powerful toolkit. He quickly closes the distance with lunging strikes and has many KO victories to his name. This striking approach will put him in the danger zone, with Hooker gliding back to line up the counter or landing his famous knee up the middle.
Chandlers best chance of victory of course relies on wrestling control. He will need to work hard to gain these positions against Hooker who has historically displayed strong take down defence combined with quick scrambles when it does hit the mat. While lacking the athleticism of Chandler, Jim Millers fight with Hooker showed the difficulty a grappling veteran had holding him down before succumbing to a well placed knee.
On the feet Chandler has exceptional speed and power which may allow him to close the gap and trade with Hooker early. A large durability edge sits with Hooker who will be happy to take a shot to deliver a counter of his own. If both fighters find success it is far more likely Hooker is the man left standing. A long jab, leg kicks and then knees up the middle from Hooker will make it hard for Chandler to find takedowns without huge risk. In Bellator the level of opposition is far below that of Hookers recent opponents, indicating this will be a big step up for Chandler.
Ufc 252 Betting Picks
We like Hooker to find a finish here. With superior striking, durability and experience the odds are in his favour. The recommendation is to back him for a medium sized play.
Bet = Hooker at 1.75 (-133) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.25 Units.
Sara McMann Bet & Breakdown
Even at age 40, McMann showed in her most recent bout to be in top physical shape. She is a powerful wrestling based fighter with solid technique. Pena is only 31 but has shown many more signs of being on the decline. Since returning from a long layoff she looked poor in a decision win before being submitted by a striking specialist. Pena is primarily a grappler and is limited on the feet.
The fight is very likely to be contested on the mat and McMann holds big wrestling advantages early. We expect her to get easy takedowns given Pena defends less than 30% of the time. If this fight has long portions standing, neither lady has much to offer and it should prove fairly even. The main concern that brings risk to this bet is McMann’s tendency fall into unlikely submissions. Even when dominating she has been unreliable to avoid mistakes that turn into fight ending moments. Pena does attempt submissions off her back and this is her most likely path to victory.
McMann has the on paper advantages to out grapple Pena and earn a decision or submission from top position. If she can remain focused to avoid giving Pena opportunities this should look like an easy bet.
Bet = McMann at 1.84 (-119) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.52 Units.
Follow us on TWITTER for the latest updates and thoughts on upcoming fights.
Remember to size your bets according to your own conservative bank roll strategy! We recommend a single bet should never be more than 5% of your total bankroll. Read our Bankroll Management guide before setting your strategy.
Confused about betting? Our Betting Guidehas you covered with the basics and explains how to use the MMABETMACHINE system.
Any questions look for the FAQ or contact us for a chat. We may bet on cage fighting, but we are pretty friendly!
View our historic bets here where we are third party tracked to ensure full confidence for our members.
These two woman step in for short notice UFC debuts, in what looks to be a very low level affair. Leonardo is a scrappy grappler who looked good in her most recent appearance, with a ground and pound stoppage. In contrast Fiorot is a promising striker who has accumulated a win streak on hapless opponents. She has an outside karate style and hasn’t faced a grappler since her first loss in 2018.
Leonardo presents a step up in opposition to the calibre of fighters Fiorot has been facing. She has more experience and a gritty style to put pressure on a green opponent who is yet to face much adversity. Assuming she can get success with some takedowns, Leonardo has a legitimate path to victory as an underdog.
Bet = Leonardo at 2.90 (+190) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 5.7 Units.
| Bet | vs | Units Risked | Odds | BETMACHINE predicted win % | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Leonardo | Manon Fiorot | 3 | 2.90 (+190) | 45% | TKO | -3u |
With only one Free Bet from the MMABETMACHINE tonight, all recent weekly purchases will automatically have their subscription extended to include UFC257.
Follow us on TWITTER for the latest updates and thoughts on upcoming fights.
Remember to size your bets according to your own conservative bank roll strategy! We recommend a single bet should never be more than 5% of your total bankroll. Read our Bankroll Management guide before setting your strategy.
Confused about betting? Our Betting Guidehas you covered with the basics and explains how to use the MMABETMACHINE system.
Any questions look for the FAQ or contact us for a chat. We may bet on cage fighting, but we are pretty friendly!
View our historic bets here where we are third party tracked to ensure full confidence for our members.
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